The Vulture Funds and the Argentine Sovereign Debt Default




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EXCERPTS

RESTRUCTURING SAGA

Hit by the financial crisis, Argentina suffered capital flight and a steep devaluation of currency, which led to a sudden evaporation of its wealth. As poverty and unemployment skyrocketed, leading to street protests and political unrest, Argentina began its sovereign debt restructuring (Refer to Exhibit 7 for a brief on sovereign debt restructuring) in 2002. It faced three significant complexities: (i) negotiating an arrangement with private creditors, (ii) rescheduling its obligations toward the Paris Club , and (iii) re-engaging the IMF. Again, the problems became compounded with Argentina choosing to engage in antagonistic, hardline, and self-destructive behavior rather than engage creditors in a negotiation, insisting on a large write-down of principal for private creditors and the postponing of action on the Paris Club and IMF debts...

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THE SWOOP OF VULTURE FUNDS

After Argentina defaulted on its sovereign debt in 2001, a few “vulture funds” — most notoriously the hedge fund Elliott Management headed by the billionaire Paul E. Singer — saw Argentina’s travails as an opportunity to make huge profits at the expense of the Argentine people...

THE HOLDOUTS’ PROBLEM

Argentina stated that it had arrears of USD11.2 billion to the holdouts worldwide (including USD6.8 billion in principal past and coming due, and USD4.4 billion in past due interest through December 2010)...

BLURRED SOVEREIGN RATING

Argentina faced another problem of unclear sovereign ratings by the global rating agencies. The 2014 ruling by a District Court Judge Thomas Griesa that Argentina could not pay its bondholders unless it also paid the holdouts in full affected its sovereign ratings...

THE WAY OUT

Argentina was not in a precarious position as it took several steps toward normalizing the economy and its relations with the outside world...

EXHIBITS

Exhibit 1: Macroeconomic Indicators

Exhibit 2: Sovereign Debt Securities – Argentina

Exhibit 3: Sovereign Debt Securities Issued by Select Countries

Exhibit 4: Sovereign Default Rates

Exhibit 5: Sovereign Debt in Default as a Share of World Public Debt and World GDP

Exhibit 6: External Sovereign defaults since 1800

Exhibit 7: Sovereign Debt Restructuring

Exhibit 8: Sovereign Bond Defaults Since 2000

Exhibit 9: A Short History of Vulture Funds

Exhibit 10: Sovereign Debt and Credit Rating of Countries